Mathematical model of tuberculosis epidemic with recovery time delay

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Taufiq Iskandar, Natasya Ayuningtia Chaniago, Said Munzir, Vera Halfiani, Marwan Ramli

2017 AIP Conference Proceedings Vol. 1913 Conference paper Cited by 9 SDG 3 Quartile

Abstract

Tuberculosis (TB) is a contagious disease which can cause death. The disease is caused by Mycobacterium Tuberculosis which generally affects lungs and other organs such as lymph gland, intestine, kidneys, uterus, bone, and brain. The spread of TB occurs through the bacteria-contaminated air which is inhaled into the lungs. The symptoms of the TB patients are cough, chest pain, shortness of breath, appetite lose, weight lose, fever, cold, and fatigue. World Health Organization (WHO) reported that Indonesia placed the second in term of the most TB cases after India which has 23 % cases while China is reported to have 10 % cases in global. TB has become one of the greatest death threats in global. One way to countermeasure TB disease is by administering vaccination. However, a medication is needed when one has already infected. The medication can generally take 6 months of time which consists of two phases, inpatient and outpatient. Mathematical models to analyze the spread of TB have been widely developed. One of them is the SEIR type model. In this model the population is divided into four groups, which are suspectible (S), exposed (S), infected (I), recovered (R). In fact, a TB patient needs to undergo medication with a period of time in order to recover. This article discusses a model of TB spread with considering the term of recovery (time delay). The model is developed in SIR type where the population is divided into three groups, suspectible (S), infected (I), and recovered (R). Here, the vaccine is given to the susceptible group and the time delay is considered in the group undergoing the medication. © 2017 Author(s).

Affiliations

Department of Mathematics, Syiah Kuala University, Banda Aceh, 23111, Indonesia; Dynamic Application and Optimization Research Group, Syiah Kuala University, Banda Aceh, 23111, Indonesia

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